New York Times writers Ana Swanson and Emily Cochrane reported on Wednesday that, “President Trump signed the revised North American Free Trade Agreement into law on Wednesday, fulfilling a key campaign promise and bringing more than two years of tumultuous negotiations over the continent’s trade rules to a close.
“The trade deal, now called the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, updates the quarter-century-old NAFTA, with stronger protections for workers and the digital economy, expanded markets for American farmers and new rules to encourage auto manufacturing in North America.”
President Trump signs #USMCA Trade Agreement into law.
In a separate Times’ article on Wednesday, Ana Swanson and Jim Tankersley explained that, “The agreement gives American farmers some additional access to foreign markets, particularly in Canada.
It does not dismantle Canada’s ‘supply management system,’ which dictates how much Canadian farmers should produce so they can be profitable. But Canada did agree to eliminate a program that helps sellers of certain milk products, at home and abroad, and open its market to American milk, cream, butter, cheese and other products.
“In return, the United States expanded access to its market for Canadian dairy and sugar.
“It also creates a list of cheese names that Mexico and the United States agree can be marketed without restriction in their countries, and it forces grocery stores in British Columbia to stop their practice of selling British Columbia-only wines on certain shelves, and stock American wines alongside them.”
Bloomberg writers Justin Sink and Jordan Fabian reported on Wednesday that, “The new trade provisions are projected to add about 0.35% to the economy after six years. But the accord’s passage has had a more immediate effect on investors, easing concerns that Trump could disrupt the economy by pulling out of Nafta without a new deal in place.”
“Later Thursday, the president will head to Iowa before that state’s first-in-the-nation presidential caucuses. He is expected to tout the trade deal’s benefits for farmers in the region,” the Bloomberg article said.
Meanwhile, Wall Street Journal writer Paul Vieira reported this week that, “Canada’s Liberal government on Monday began the task of ratifying the revised North American trade deal, a process that could take months and force Prime Minister Justin Trudeau into some deal making with rivals to ensure quick passage.
“Canada is the last country remaining to yet ratify the revised trade deal, following the conclusion of talks between the Trump administration and the Democratic-controlled House of Representatives.”
The Journal article stated that, “The pact won’t come into force until 90 days after the last country ratifies the deal. The timing of Canadian approval remains a wild card as the governing Liberals try to navigate a minority government, which gives the opposition parties—which have criticized elements of the deal—some leverage.
“Any perceived foot dragging could fuel unease and unrest from the Trump administration and perhaps even Mexico, as both are eager to move on and put their focus elsewhere, trade watchers say.
“‘This won’t be a rubber stamp,’ said Mark Warner, a trade lawyer who practices in Toronto and New York and has closely followed the USMCA talks. ‘It will get passed but there will be bumps.’
Keith Good is the social media manager for the farmdoc project at the University of Illinois. He has previously worked for the USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service, and compiled the daily FarmPolicy.com News Summary from 2003-2015. He is a graduate of Purdue University (M.S.- Agricultural Economics), and Southern Illinois University School of Law.