
Return of Morocco Positive, but Won’t Immediately Provide Return to Normal Prices
AgWeb’s Margy Eckelkamp reported that “StoneX Vice President of Fertilizer Josh Linville says the significance is straightforward: ‘Because we haven’t seen Morocco since 2021.’ He adds the supply change could help phosphate fertilizer economics, though not immediately to ‘normal’ levels. ‘I’m hoping we’ll start to see a little bit of price alleviation. I don’t think we’re going anything close to normal, but at this point, we’ll take whatever dollars we can get,’ Linville says.” Additionally, the company shipped triple superphosphate to the U.S., which Progressive Farmer’s Jake Zajkowski reported on X that “analysts point out that triple superphosphate (TSP) is not as popular in the U.S. marketplace as MAP or DAP.”Eckelkamp reported that “Linville argued the larger phosphate market is locked in a competitive price environment, where producers face logistics and export constraints in addition to demand uncertainty.” “‘If we were in a normal market, right now prices should be just careening off a cliff,’ he says, explaining that standard price behavior may be delayed when key exporting nations remain restrained,” Eckelkamp reported. “The current market’s ‘price war’ is driven by a small set of global suppliers–phosphate’s largest five are China, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, Russia and the U.S.” “‘Look at China—they’re not exporting. They exported 10 million tons of DAP and MAP in 2021. So far, this year, I think it’s 183,000 tons.’ he says,” according to Eckelkamp’s reporting. “Linville also points to logistics constraints affecting Saudi Arabian supply, noting ‘The Strait of Hormuz is half the world’s tradable supply. Just right off the bat, just half of the world’s tradable supply is gone.’ He adds Russia’s export ban further tightens availability: ‘Russia has banned export. That’s another 17%, so right now, two-thirds—literally, 2 out of every 3 tons around the world is missing.'”First Moroccan phosphate vessel has arrived to some U.S. fanfare. As always, there is a “but”. In this case, the ship is carrying triple super phosphate. Not the popular DAP or MAP. Still, that ship carries P2O5 units and there are more enroute. Just wish prices reflected…
— Josh Linville (@JLinvilleFert) August 17, 2026