Financial Times writer Christopher Miller reported on Saturday that, “A Ukrainian naval drone has struck a Russian oil tanker in the Kerch Strait near Crimea, in the latest in a series of bold strikes that signal Kyiv’s use of unmanned vehicles is becoming more aggressive and effective.”
Trade
Ukrainian Drones Attack Russian Black Sea Grain Export Port of Novorossiysk, as U.S. Grain Export Inspections Fall in Second Quarter
Bloomberg writer Ben Sharples reported today that, “Wheat futures rose after the Novorossiysk port was closed to marine traffic by Russian authorities following a drone attack.”
Amid Kremlin Grain Port Attacks, Farmers in Ukraine Cut Planting Area; as Midwest “Crop-Friendly” Weather Unfolds
Bloomberg writer Aine Quinn reported today that, “Major Ukrainian farm companies are curbing winter crop plantings after Russia blocked the main Black Sea export route, hitting world food supplies for the next two years.”
Danube River Port of Izmail Attacked, “Raising Further Concerns over Global Food Supplies”
Financial Times writers Christopher Miller and William Langley reported today that, “Russia attacked targets across Ukraine with drones before sunrise on Wednesday, hitting a critical river port facility and a grain silo in the southern Odesa region and raising further concerns over global food supplies.”
Russia Bombardment Against Ukrainian Grain Infrastructure Persists, as Romania Plans Transit Route Expansion
Marc Santora and Victoria Kim reported in Sunday’s New York Times that, “Russian forces struck a grain terminal in the southern Ukrainian city of Kherson, Ukrainian officials said on Saturday, extending a bombardment of the country’s infrastructure that has raised alarm about Kyiv’s ability to ship grain to the world.”
Russia Fires Missiles in Odesa Region From Black Sea Submarine, as NATO Steps Up Patrols
Reuters News reported today that, “Russian forces struck port infrastructure in Ukraine’s Odesa region in an overnight missile attack, killing a security guard and damaging a cargo terminal, the region’s governor said on Thursday.”
EU “Could Provide Alternative Routes” for Ukrainian Grain- Expand “Solidarity Lanes”
Financial Times writers Andy Bounds and Ian Johnston reported yesterday that, “The EU could provide alternative routes for almost all of Ukraine’s grain exports following Russia’s decision to stop their passage through the Black Sea, the bloc’s agriculture commissioner said.”
Russia Strikes Infrastructure Along Danube, “an Alternative [Grain] Export Route”
Reuters writers Olena Harmash and Tom Balmforth reported on Monday that, “Russia destroyed Ukrainian grain warehouses on the Danube River and wounded seven people in a drone attack on Monday, expanding the target area of an air campaign it launched last week after pulling out of the Black Sea grain deal, Kyiv said.”
Amid Black Sea Turmoil, Wheat Set for 9% Weekly Climb; as India Rice Export Issues Emerge
Bloomberg writers Jasmine Ng, Megan Durisin, and Aliaksandr Kudrytski reported today that, “Wheat edged lower but is still poised for a weekly gain of more than 9%, as military drills in the Black Sea add to the risks disrupting grain trade from a vital producing region.”
Wheat Soars as Russia Threatens Ships; Ports Hit For Third Straight Night
Bloomberg writers Megan Durisin, and Aliaksandr Kudrytski reported yesterday that, “Wheat and corn rallied to three-week highs as another wave of Russian attacks battered southern Ukraine following the collapse of the grain-export deal.”
Ukraine Ports Attacked For Second Consecutive Night, as U.S. Announces Ukrainian Agricultural Aid
New York Times writer Gabriela Sá Pessoa reported yesterday that, “The United States Agency for International Development announced a total of $750 million in new assistance to Ukraine on Monday and Tuesday, with $500 million dedicated to humanitarian aid and $250 million to support the country’s farmers after Russia refused to extend a Black Sea grain deal.”
Black Sea Grain Deal Abandoned – China Was “Biggest Recipient of Ukrainian Grain Under the Deal”
Financial Times writers Max Seddon, Henry Foy and Adam Samson reported yesterday that, “Russia has formally withdrawn from a UN-brokered deal to export Ukrainian grain across the Black Sea, potentially imperilling tens of millions of tonnes of food exports around the world.”
Black Sea Grain Deal Update- “Deal to Expire Monday”
New York Times writers Matthew Mpoke Bigg, Anatoly Kurmanaev and Vivek Shankar reported on Sunday that, “The United Nations on Sunday awaited a response from Russia on renewing a deal that allows Ukraine to export its grain amid a wartime blockade, a necessity in helping keep global food prices stable.”
Black Sea Grain Deal in Focus
Bloomberg writers Baris Balci and Olesia Safronova reported on Saturday that, “Turkey wants the safe-transit deal for Ukrainian grain exports from Black Sea ports extended for three months instead of two, said President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.”
U.S. Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken Visits China Aiming to Stabilize Tensions
Washington Post writers John Hudson and Lily Kuo reported in Sunday’s paper that, “Antony Blinken became the first U.S. secretary of state to visit China in five years as he arrived in the country Sunday for two days of high-stakes meetings aimed at stabilizing a relationship under historic stress.”
Growing Price Gap in U.S. Corn Export Prices Could Further Limit U.S. Exports
In its monthly Feed Outlook report yesterday, the USDA’s Economic Research Service (ERS) indicated that, “U.S. corn exports for 2022/23 are lowered to 1.725 billion bushels, down 50 million bushels from the May World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report.”
China Will Feed More Wheat to Hogs; “El Nino Has Officially Returned,” and Ukraine “Counter-Offensive Gets Under Way”
Bloomberg writer Hallie Gu reported today that, “China will feed a lot more of its domestic wheat crop to hogs and poultry this year after heavy rains reduced the quality of the harvest in the biggest growing region, boosting prospects for imports.”
China Imported Record Amount of Soybeans in May; Ukraine Dam Explosion Ag Impacts Unfold
Reuters writer Dominique Patton reported yesterday that, “China imported a record 12.02 million tonnes of soybeans in May, up 24% on a year ago, Reuters calculations based on customs data showed, as cargoes delayed during last month’s strict inspections were finally unloaded at ports.”
U.S. Requests USMCA Dispute Settlement Consultations on Mexico’s Ag Biotech Measures
Kristina Peterson reported in Saturday’s Wall Street Journal that, “The U.S. on Friday stepped up its efforts to get Mexico to ease its restrictions on genetically modified corn, after more than a year of high-level discussions between the two countries failed to resolve the dispute.”
U.S. Agricultural Exports in Fiscal Year 2023 Forecast Down, Lower Grain Exports Expected
On Wednesday, the USDA released its Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade, a quarterly report from the Department’s Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) and Economic Research Service (ERS).