ERS Report: “Interdependence of China, United States, and Brazil in Soybean Trade”

Late last week, the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Economic Research Service (ERS) released a report (“Interdependence of China, United States, and Brazil in Soybean Trade,” by Fred Gale, Constanza Valdes, and Mark Ash) that discussed “factors driving China’s imports of soybeans and production in Brazil and the United States, price dynamics, and market adjustments to China’s retaliatory tariff on U.S. soybeans.” Today’s update includes highlights from the ERS report.

Supply Concerns Impacting Corn Prices, as Trade Worries Persist

Recent news items discuss the ongoing impacts of the unprecedented adverse weather that unfolded in the Corn Belt this spring.  Corn prices have increased as supply uncertainty persists.  Meanwhile, commodity export demand remains a concern as the U.S., China trade spat continues.  Today’s update looks at some of these issues in more detail.

Trends in USDA Nutrition Programs, the Largest Farm Bill Expenditures

The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Economic Research Service (ERS) recently released a report (“The Food Assistance Landscape: FY 2018 Annual Report,” by Victor Oliveira) that examined “trends in U.S. food and nutrition assistance programs through fiscal 2018.”  The 15 domestic food and nutrition assistance programs administered by USDA account for over two-thirds of the Department’s annual budget.  Today’s update includes highlights from the ERS report.

Persistent Adverse Conditions Disrupt Crop Production Outlook

The most recent crop forecast from the U.S. Department of Agriculture revealed that unprecedented spring weather has already negatively impacted production prospects for corn.  Meanwhile, recent news items highlight the ongoing production uncertainty that stems from later than normal planting.  The sluggish pace of corn and soybean crop development, along with planted acreage uncertainty, is also clouding the production forecast.

Stable Agricultural Land Values Settle Farm Balance Sheets, For Now

Financial Times writers Gregory Meyer and Robert Armstrong reported earlier this month that, “Despite a half-decade of falling grain prices, Midwestern farmland has held much of its value, and has become the foundation for a borrowing boom. Farm debt across the US has risen to $427bn, close to amounts that preceded the 1980s agricultural crash, when adjusted for inflation.”

Senate Agriculture Committee Trade Hearing- USMCA, China, and MFP Payments

On Thursday, the Senate Agriculture Committee held a hearing titled, “Certainty in Global Markets for the U.S. Agriculture Sector.” Lawmakers discussed the USMCA, the ongoing trade negotiations with China, and sought additional details on the Administration’s second round of trade mitigation payments for farmers, which was announced last month.  Recall that a House Agriculture Subcommittee held a trade related hearing on Tuesday.

House Ag Subcommittee Agricultural Trade Hearing- USMCA Approval “Vital”

On Tuesday, the House Agriculture Livestock and Foreign Agriculture Subcommittee held a hearing highlighting agricultural trade issues. Lawmakers discussed the USMCA, the ongoing trade negotiations with China, and the impact that trade conflicts are having on U.S. farmers.  Meanwhile, recent news articles have discussed the potential progress of trade related legislation.

Farmers Unsettled by U.S. Tariff Threats, While USDA Projects Lower Agricultural Exports

Recent news articles point to a feeling of unease among U.S. farmers regarding President Trump’s threat late last week to impose import tariffs on Mexican goods.  Mexico is a top export market for U.S. corn and pork, and additional complications with ratifying the USMCA trade pact are unwelcome while trade negotiations continue with China, the European Union, and Japan.  Meanwhile, the U.S. Department of Agriculture released its quarterly projections for U.S. agricultural trade last week.  Today’s update highlights these issues in greater detail.

Farmers Face Difficult Decisions as Spring Planting Lumbers On

Farmers continue to cope with difficult planting conditions that have bogged down corn planting this spring to a record slow pace.  Policy uncertainty stemming from recently announced executive branch trade assistance persists, and the House of Representatives has been stymied in its effort to pass a disaster relief bill.  Today’s update discusses these issues in more detail.

China Halts U.S. Soybean Purchases, While USMCA Prospects Unfold Under a new Threat of Tariffs on Mexico

Today’s update reviews recent news articles that highlight two important trade issues impacting U.S. farmers: China’s imports of U.S. soybeans, and the likely ratification of the USMCA Agreement with Canada and Mexico. President Trump added a wrinkle to the USMCA issue Thursday evening by threatening to implement escalating tariffs on all Mexican imports beginning June 10.  Recall that Canada and Mexico are the two largest U.S. agricultural export markets, while China ranks fifth.  

Planting Troubles Worsen, Progress Lowest on Record for Corn

Unrelenting rainfall continues to cause headaches for Corn Belt farmers.  Record-breaking precipitation this year has lead to flooding and historic delays in the pace of U.S. corn planting.  Soybean planting has also fallen significantly behind the five year average.  Today’s update recaps recent news articles and government reports that discuss these issues in more detail.

Weather, and Policy Uncertainty Converge on Farmers’ Planting Decisions

Ongoing wet weather in the Corn Belt, along with uncertainty associated with recent executive and legislative branch policy related actions, have converged on U.S. farmers as planting deadlines loom.  With June just days away, producers are sorting though both known, and significant unknown variables, in an effort to figure out how to maximize returns on their operations. Today’s update highlights some of these issues in more detail.

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