Financial Times writer Ben Hall reported yesterday that, “A deal allowing Ukraine to export grain to world markets by ship despite Russia’s blockade of the Black Sea has been extended, the UN and the Ukrainian and Turkish governments said on Saturday.”
Trade
Russia Still Calls for 60 Day Extension of Black Sea Grain Initiative, as Global Grain Stocks Seen Lower
Reuters writer Michelle Nichols reported yesterday that, “The United Nations backed Turkey and Ukraine on Thursday by calling for a 120-day rollover of an agreement allowing the safe export of grain from several Ukrainian Black Sea ports after Russia said it would only extend the pact for 60 days.”
China Makes Advance Purchases of Brazil’s Safrinha Corn Crop
Reuters writer Ana Mano reported yesterday that, “China is actively buying Brazil’s second corn, known as ‘safrinha,’ even as farmers grapple with planting delays in the world’s third biggest producer of the cereal.”
African Swine Fever Surges in China Potentially Driving Pork Prices Higher
Earlier this week, Reuters writer Dominique Patton reported that, “A surge in African swine fever infections in China is set to reduce hog output later this year, farm managers and analysts said this week, pushing up prices in the world’s top pork consumer as demand recovers.”
Uncertainty Over Black Sea Grain Initiative Extension Continues to Impact Market- Wheat Price Volatility “Remains High”
Reuters writers Nigel Hunt and Jonathan Saul reported yesterday that, “Russia has proposed that a U.N.-backed initiative that has enabled grains to be exported from Ukraine’s Black Sea ports should be renewed for just 60 days.”
Turkey Supports 120 Day Extension of Black Sea Grain Initiative, Wheat Prices Gain on Confusion Over Deal’s Extension
Bloomberg writers Aine Quinn and Megan Durisin reported on Tuesday that, “Wheat gained to the highest in a week amid confusion over the terms of renewing a key grain-export deal that allows Ukraine to ship crops from its Black Sea ports.”
China in Focus: Biden to Speak by Phone “Soon” With His Chinese Counterpart, Xi Jinping
Reuters writer Joe Cash reported yesterday that, “China’s new Premier Li Qiang said that the country’s food security is guaranteed and that state policies to support food production will increase, at a news conference to mark the close of the annual sitting of parliament on Monday.”
If No Objections, Black Sea Grain Initiative Automatically Extended, Mixed Signals on Extension Emerge
Reuters writer Gabrielle Tétrault-Farber reported yesterday that, “Russia on Monday suggested renewing a deal allowing the safe export of grain from Ukraine’s Black Sea ports but only for half the term of the previous renewal while the United Nations pledged to do everything possible to ensure the agreement’s integrity remained intact.”
Black Sea Grain Initiative Deadline Looms, Ukrainian Farmers Still “Risk Deadly Harvest”
Michael Schwirtz and Stanislav Kozliuk reported in Sunday’s New York Times that, “Oleksandr Hordienko stepped gingerly into a wheat field that had recently served as a Russian tank position, following closely behind an assistant with a metal detector.”
UN Secretary-General, in Kyiv, Highlights Black Sea Grain Deal Rollover, Expires on March 18
Bloomberg writers Olesia Safronova and Megan Durisin reported yesterday that, “United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres stressed the importance of renewing the key Black Sea grain deal during a visit to Kyiv, with the current accord soon set to expire.”
Wheat Export and Production Issues in Focus, as Black Sea Grain Deal Discussions Continue
Late last week, Bloomberg writers Aine Quinn and Megan Durisin reported that, “After a slow start to the season, Russia’s grain exports are booming as buyers load up on its attractive bumper supplies.”
China Imports Record Volume of Soybeans in Jan.-Feb., While Warning U.S. on Policy Strategy
Earlier this week, Reuters writer Dominique Patton reported that, “China, the world’s top oilseed buyer, imported a record volume of soybeans for the first two months of the year, as buyers stocked up in anticipation of healthy demand and over worries of a delayed harvest in Brazil.”
Biden Administration Requesting Talks With Mexico on GMO Corn Import Restrictions
Ana Swanson and Linda Qiu reported on the front page of the Business section in today’s New York Times that, “The Biden administration said on Monday that it would take initial steps toward challenging a ban that Mexico has placed on shipments of genetically modified corn from the United States, restrictions that have rankled farmers and threatened a profitable export.”
Additional Brazilian Firms Cleared to Export Corn to China- Background and Issues
Reuters writer Roberto Samora reported late last week that, “Brazil’s agriculture ministry said on Friday that 90 local firms have been cleared to export corn to China in the first two months of the year, taking the total to 446.”
Reuters: “Ukraine Doesn’t Plan to curb 2023/24 Wheat Exports”
Reuters writers Rod Nickel and Pavel Polityuk reported yesterday that, “Ukraine sees no need to limit wheat exports for the upcoming 2023/24 July-June season, as the winter harvest looks to be larger than expected, albeit smaller than in peacetime, a top agriculture ministry official said on Thursday.”
“All Options” Considered by U.S. Over Mexico’s Corn Import Restrictions
Reuters writer Andrea Shalal reported yesterday that, “The United States will consider ‘all options,’ including a formal trade dispute panel, unless Mexico addresses Washington’s concerns over Mexico’s plan to limit imports of genetically modified corn, a senior U.S. trade official said on Wednesday.”
AMIS: War in Ukraine, Black Sea Grain Deal- “Uncertainty Continues to Hang Over Agricultural Markets”
In its March Market Monitor report, the Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) indicated that, “With no end in sight to the war in Ukraine and threats of further escalation, uncertainty continues to hang over agricultural markets.”
Black Sea Grain Initiative Up for Renewal in March, Negotiations Expected This Week
Reuters writer Pavel Polityuk reported late last week that, “Negotiations will start in a week on extending a U.N.-backed initiative that has enabled Ukraine to export grain from ports blockaded by Russia after its invasion, a senior Ukrainian official said on Friday.”
U.S. Pork and Beef Exports at a Glance, Recent USDA Reports
In its monthly Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook report this week, USDA’s Economic Research Service (ERS) indicated that, “Although fourth-quarter pork exports had a solid finish—shipments of almost 1.7 billion pounds were about 1.6 percent higher than a year earlier, mostly on the strength of year-over-year larger shipments to Mexico and China—total U.S. exports ended 2022 at 6.3 billion pounds, about 10 percent below volumes in 2021.”
Mexico Softens Stance on GMO Corn Import Ban
Reuters writers Cassandra Garrison and Adriana Barrera reported this week that, “Mexico on Monday scrapped a deadline to ban genetically modified corn for animal feed and industrial use amid trade tensions with the United States, but retained plans to prohibit use of the grain for human consumption as well as the herbicide glyphosate.”