Alistair MacDonald, William Mauldin and Ann M. Simmons reported in today’s Wall Street Journal that, “Russia is open to easing its blockade of Ukraine’s ports along the Black Sea if sanctions on Moscow are lifted, a Russian official said Wednesday, a move that, if it went ahead, could increase grain exports and help relieve rising food inflation and shortages.”
Farm Policy News
Russia Chokes Off Ukraine’s Exports, Seen as “Deliberate Attack” on Global Food Chain, Black Sea Escorting Warships Considered
Shane Harris reported on the front page of today’s Washington Post that, “Newly declassified U.S. intelligence shows that a Russian naval blockade has halted maritime trade at Ukrainian ports, in what world leaders call a deliberate attack on the global food supply chain that has raised fears of political instability and shortages unless grain and other essential agricultural products are allowed to flow freely from Ukraine.”
Kansas City Fed Examines Market Disruptions After Russian Invasion, While Ukraine Grain Production Could Rise, and Egypt Faces Wheat Strains
Bloomberg writer Yvonne Yue Li reported yesterday that, “Farmers are still making money despite the higher costs for fuel and fertilizer, as crop prices have risen even more.”
May Grain Exports From Ukraine Could Reach 1.5 Million Tonnes
Reuters writer Pavel Polityuk reported on today that, “Ukraine’s grain exports could reach 1.5 million tonnes in May compared with around 1 million tonnes in April, Roman Slaston, Director General of the Ukrainian Agrarian Business Club Association, said on Monday.”
Iowa Farmers Dealing With Late Planting, Higher Input Costs, While Elevated Food Costs Put Focus on China
Donnelle Eller reported on the front page of today’s Des Moines Register that, “This year’s planting season is about as unusual as Blake Reynolds can recall: Snow, rain and cold meant he started planting corn and soybeans this year in mid-May, about when he finished planting his crop last year. And the year before.”
Ukrainian Spring Wheat Planting Nearly Finished, While Wheat Condition in France Worsens
Reuters writer Pavel Polityuk reported yesterday that, “Ukrainian farmers have almost completed the sowing of spring wheat for the 2022 harvest and the overall rate of this year’s spring crop sowing is 25% lower than at the same date in 2021, the agriculture ministry said on Friday.”
Russia Won’t Halt Black Sea Blockade; Indonesia Lifts Ban on Palm Oil Exports; and Diesel Prices Climb
Wall Street Journal writers William Mauldin and Vivian Salama reported in today’s paper that, “Russia dismissed calls from top United Nations and Western officials to halt a Black Sea blockade that has prevented Ukraine from exporting much of its grain to world markets, causing price hikes and exacerbating food shortages.”
Elevated Fertilizer Prices Remain, as UN in Talks to Restore Ukrainian Grain Exports
Bloomberg writer Elizabeth Elkin reported yesterday that, “In more bad news for farmers, a fertilizer that’s key for corn production will remain expensive for at least two years.”
ERS: US Wheat Price Projected at Record High, Major Exporters’ Ending Stocks Lowest Since 2012/13
In its monthly Wheat Outlook report on Monday, the USDA’s Economic Research Service (ERS) stated that, “The U.S. season-average farm price (SAFP) for 2022/23 is projected to reach a record $10.75 per bushel, supported by tight domestic stocks.”
India Announces “Some Relaxation in Wheat Export Notification,” as U.N. Seeks to Ease Ukraine Grain Blockade
Reuters writers Rajendra Jadhav and Mayank Bhardwaj reported today that, “India will allow overseas wheat shipments awaiting customs clearance, the government said on Tuesday, introducing some relaxation in exports after it banned overseas sales of the staple on Saturday.”
Wheat Prices Climb After India Export Ban, as Details of the New Restrictions Assessed
Financial Times writers Hudson Lockett and Nic Fildes reported yesterday that, “Wheat prices rose by the maximum amount allowed on Monday after India imposed a ban on exports, stoking pressure on food costs as tight global supplies roiled international markets.”
Global Food Problems “Piling Up,” India Wheat Export Ban Adds to “Global Strains”
Bloomberg writer Pratik Parija reported today that, “India’s move to restrict wheat exports is set to reverberate through global agricultural markets, exposing just how tight global supplies are after the war in Ukraine and threatening to drive up food prices even more.”
India Bans Wheat Exports
Bloomberg writer Pratik Parija reported today that, “India prohibited wheat exports that the world was counting on to alleviate supply constraints sparked by the war in Ukraine, saying that the nation’s food security is under threat.”
USDA: Global Wheat Prospects Stymied by Weather and War, Prices Soar- Outlook for Lower Global Corn Production
In its monthly Grain: World Markets and Trade report yesterday, the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) indicated that, “Global [wheat] production is forecast at 775 million tons, down 4 million from the previous year. The largest cut to production is in Ukraine, which is projected to have a crop one-third smaller than the prior year with reduced harvested area and lower yields due to the ongoing war with Russia.”
Federal Reserve Ag Credit Surveys- 2022 First Quarter, Farmland Values Continue to Increase at Rapid Pace
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve Banks of Chicago and Kansas City released updates regarding farm income, farmland values and agricultural credit conditions from the first quarter of 2022.
Global Wheat Production Faces Weather Threats, While U.S. Food Prices Climb
Bloomberg writers Megan Durisin, Kim Chipman, Jen Skerritt, and James Poole reported today that, “As Russia’s invasion chokes off Ukrainian wheat exports, pushing up bread and noodle prices, the global harvest faces an added test: extreme weather.”
Russia Makes Some Land Gains– Persists in Strangling Ukrainian Grain Exports
New York Times writers Michael Schwirtz, Marc Santora and Michael Levenson reported on the front page of today’s paper that, “Russia’s nearly three-month-old invasion of neighboring Ukraine has been punctuated by flawed planning, poor intelligence, barbarity and wanton destruction. But obscured in the daily fighting is the geographic reality that Russia has made gains on the ground.”
Food Protectionism Adds to “Chaos in Global Food Markets,” While Ukraine Could Plant a Majority of Spring Crops
Financial Times writers Oliver Telling, Benjamin Parkin and Emiko Terazono reported yesterday that, “Rising protectionism is exacerbating chaos in global food markets brought on by the war in Ukraine, with governments clamping down on exports of staples including grains, cooking oil and pulses.”
Russian Fertilizer Continues to Arrive in Brazil
Jack Nicas and André Spigariol reported in today’s New York Times that, “When the first Russian missiles struck Ukraine, the reverberations were felt 6,500 miles away, on the vast Brazilian farms that grow much of the world’s soybeans.”
Global Food Prices Ease Slightly From Record, as Ukrainian Exports Foiled; and Global Wheat Variables Evolve
Bloomberg writer Megan Durisin reported on Friday that, “Global food prices held near a record as crop trade is disrupted by the war in Ukraine, exacerbating tight supplies and stoking inflation.”