A Closer Look at Phase 1 Commitments, as Coronavirus “Has Scrambled” the Outlook

Writing recently at the CARD (Center for Agricultural and Rural Development) Agricultural Policy Review, from Iowa State University (“The Phase One Trade Deal: Projections and Implications”), Chad Hart and Lee Schulz stated that, “The Phase One deal alters the agricultural trade landscape—China has agreed to specific targets for agricultural purchases for this year and next year.”

Highlights from USDA Trade and Commodity Outlook Reports

Following this month’s release of the USDA’s Long-Term Projections, on Thursday, the Department released its quarterly Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade.  This update provided an overview of agricultural trade based on the 2020 fiscal year, which began in October, months before the U.S. and China signed the Phase-One trade agreement.  Recall that Phase One farm purchase commitments are based on the calendar year.

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