Reuters writer Naveen Thukral reported today that, “Chicago wheat rose for a second consecutive session on Tuesday, fuelled by concerns over exports from the Black Sea region after a weekend attack temporarily shut down a key Ukrainian port, disrupting grain shipments.”
Trade
U.S. Lawmakers Call for Enforcement of Mexico’s USMCA Biotech Commitments Over GMO Corn Ban
Reuters writer Cassandra Garrison reported late last week that, “A group of bipartisan U.S. lawmakers called on Trade Representative on Friday to start consultations under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (USMCA) over Mexico’s ban on genetically modified (GM) corn and the herbicide glyphosate.”
China Accelerates Retreat From “Zero-Covid,” While Mexico May Extend Deadline Regarding GMO Corn Imports
Selina Cheng reported on the front page of today’s Wall Street Journal that, “China dropped many of its quarantine and testing requirements and curtailed the power of local officials to shut down entire city blocks, as the government accelerates plans to dismantle zero-Covid controls in the wake of nationwide protests.”
USDA Lowers FY 2023 Forecast for U.S. Agricultural Exports
On Tuesday, the USDA released its Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade, a quarterly report from the Department’s Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) and Economic Research Service (ERS). Today’s update includes highlights from the report, which was coordinated by Bart Kenner, Hui Jiang, Dylan Russell and James Kaufman.
China Protests Contribute to Global Demand Fears
Lingling Wei, Brian Spegele and Wenxin Fan reported on the front page of today’s Wall Street Journal that, “Protests are erupting in major cities in China over President Xi Jinping‘s zero-tolerance approach to Covid-19, an unusual show of defiance in the country as the economic and social costs from snap lockdowns and other strict restrictions escalate.”
Brazil Exports Corn to China, Amounts Could Increase, as Mexico Signals Softening of Planned Import Ban of U.S. GMO Corn
Bloomberg writer Tarso Veloso Ribeiro reported yesterday that, “The first vessel carrying Brazilian corn to China is set to sail Wednesday after a deal earlier this year between the two nations.”
Black Sea Export Deal Extended For Another 120 Days
Financial Times writers Roman Olearchyk and Ayla Jean Yackley reported today that, “Ukraine says negotiators from Kyiv and Moscow have agreed to prolong a UN and Turkish-brokered Black Sea grain export agreement, a crucial step to alleviating a global food crisis triggered by the conflict.”
Global Wheat Ending Stocks Tightest Since 2016/17, But Some See Global Food Price Declines for Next Year
In its monthly Wheat Outlook report earlier this week, the USDA’s Economic Research Service pointed out that, “2022/23 global ending stocks are projected up 0.3 MMT to 267.8 MMT but remain the tightest since 2016/17.”
Kremlin Expected to Extend Black Sea Export Deal
Bloomberg News reported today that, “Russia is expected to agree to extend a United Nations-brokered deal allowing exports of Ukrainian grain and other farm products from the Black Sea, ensuring a vital flow of foodstuffs to the world market.”
Insurers Resume Black Sea Grain Cargo Coverage After Russia Rejoins Accord, While Mississippi River Woes in Focus
Ivan Nechepurenko and Matthew Mpoke Bigg reported in today’s New York Times that, “Russia on Wednesday rejoined an agreement allowing the shipment of Ukrainian grain through the Black Sea, one of the few areas of cooperation amid the war in Ukraine, easing uncertainty over the fate of a deal seen as crucial to preventing famine in other parts of the world.”
Russia to Rejoin Black Sea Export Deal, as Mississippi River Water Level Concerns Persist
Financial Times writers Ayla Jean Yackley and Max Seddon reported today that, “Grain shipments from Ukraine will resume on Wednesday after Russia agreed to rejoin a UN-backed initiative to allow their export, ending a stand-off that threatened to reignite a global food crisis.”
Russia Threatens Ships Sailing Ukraine’s Grain Export Corridor, Calls Movement “Unacceptable”
Jared Malsin and Alistair MacDonald reported in today’s Wall Street Journal that, “Russia threatened to stop vessels carrying grain from Ukraine, two days after Moscow said it would abandon an agreement that guaranteed the safety of those exports and as ships continued to make the voyages Monday anyway.”
Ukraine, Turkey and UN Agree on Movement Plan for 16 Vessels from Ukrainian Port- Wheat, Corn Futures Rise
Bloomberg writers Selcan Hacaoglu, Agnieszka de Sousa, and Daryna Krasnolutska reported yesterday that, “Turkey, the UN and others looked for ways to salvage the Ukrainian grain export initiative after Moscow said it would pull out indefinitely following an attack on its Black Sea naval fleet.”
Russia Suspends Participation in Black Sea Export Deal
Financial Times writers Polina Ivanova, Christopher Miller and Emiko Terazono reported yesterday that, “Moscow has suspended its participation in a UN-backed deal with Kyiv that unblocked the movement of Ukrainian grain out of its southern ports, threatening to deepen the global food crisis.”
“Mixed Rhetoric” Surrounds Renewal of Black Sea Grain Deal
Dow Jones writer Will Horner reported yesterday that, “The future of the Black Sea grains deal is shaping up to be agricultural markets’ key concern this week, while weather for South American farmers and macroeconomic developments such as economic data and central bank meetings will also be in focus.”
218 Ships Have Left Ukraine Under Black Sea Export Deal, While U.S. Thanksgiving Turkey Prices in Focus
Reuters writer Pavel Polityuk reported late last week that, “A total of 211 ships with 4.7 million tonnes of agricultural products on board have left Ukraine so far under a deal brokered by the United Nations and Turkey to unblock Ukrainian sea ports, the Ukrainian infrastructure ministry said on Saturday.”
China Food Security Goals Prompt Effort to Cut Soy Use in Livestock Rations, as Argentina Farmers May Plant More Soybeans
Bloomberg News reported yesterday that, “China is redoubling its efforts to bolster food security by trying to cut the amount of soybeans that get turned into animal feed.”
Russia Invasion Impacting Ukraine’s Crop Storage Capacity, While Black Sea Export Deal in Focus
Late last week, Bloomberg writer Courtney McBride reported that, “Russia has destroyed, damaged or seized control of 14% of Ukraine’s crop storage capacity since invading in February, jeopardizing the global food supply and threatening future harvests, a US government-backed report said Thursday.”
India Restricts Rice Exports- Stoking Food Inflation Fears, as France, Romania Help Increase Ukrainian Grain Exports
Financial Times writers John Reed and Jyotsna Singh reported late last week that, “India imposed controls on exports of several varieties of rice on Friday, in a move likely to affect the global market for one of the most commonly eaten staple foods as commodity prices surge following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.”
Putin Criticises Black Sea Export Deal, While Drought Takes “Hefty Toll” on U.S. Production
Financial Times writers Polina Ivanova, Roman Olearchyk, Henry Foy, and David Sheppard yesterday that, “Vladimir Putin has criticised a grain deal signed with Ukraine that unblocked agricultural products trapped in the country by his government’s military assault, threatening an agreement that had eased a growing global food crisis.”