House Ag Subcommittee Agricultural Trade Hearing- USMCA Approval “Vital”

On Tuesday, the House Agriculture Livestock and Foreign Agriculture Subcommittee held a hearing highlighting agricultural trade issues. Lawmakers discussed the USMCA, the ongoing trade negotiations with China, and the impact that trade conflicts are having on U.S. farmers.  Meanwhile, recent news articles have discussed the potential progress of trade related legislation.

Farmers Unsettled by U.S. Tariff Threats, While USDA Projects Lower Agricultural Exports

Recent news articles point to a feeling of unease among U.S. farmers regarding President Trump’s threat late last week to impose import tariffs on Mexican goods.  Mexico is a top export market for U.S. corn and pork, and additional complications with ratifying the USMCA trade pact are unwelcome while trade negotiations continue with China, the European Union, and Japan.  Meanwhile, the U.S. Department of Agriculture released its quarterly projections for U.S. agricultural trade last week.  Today’s update highlights these issues in greater detail.

Farmers Face Difficult Decisions as Spring Planting Lumbers On

Farmers continue to cope with difficult planting conditions that have bogged down corn planting this spring to a record slow pace.  Policy uncertainty stemming from recently announced executive branch trade assistance persists, and the House of Representatives has been stymied in its effort to pass a disaster relief bill.  Today’s update discusses these issues in more detail.

China Halts U.S. Soybean Purchases, While USMCA Prospects Unfold Under a new Threat of Tariffs on Mexico

Today’s update reviews recent news articles that highlight two important trade issues impacting U.S. farmers: China’s imports of U.S. soybeans, and the likely ratification of the USMCA Agreement with Canada and Mexico. President Trump added a wrinkle to the USMCA issue Thursday evening by threatening to implement escalating tariffs on all Mexican imports beginning June 10.  Recall that Canada and Mexico are the two largest U.S. agricultural export markets, while China ranks fifth.  

Planting Troubles Worsen, Progress Lowest on Record for Corn

Unrelenting rainfall continues to cause headaches for Corn Belt farmers.  Record-breaking precipitation this year has lead to flooding and historic delays in the pace of U.S. corn planting.  Soybean planting has also fallen significantly behind the five year average.  Today’s update recaps recent news articles and government reports that discuss these issues in more detail.

Weather, and Policy Uncertainty Converge on Farmers’ Planting Decisions

Ongoing wet weather in the Corn Belt, along with uncertainty associated with recent executive and legislative branch policy related actions, have converged on U.S. farmers as planting deadlines loom.  With June just days away, producers are sorting though both known, and significant unknown variables, in an effort to figure out how to maximize returns on their operations. Today’s update highlights some of these issues in more detail.

Welcome News on Trade, But Unresolved Issues Linger

Executive branch policy action last week resulted in some very welcome good news for U.S. agriculture.  Metal import tariffs on Canada and Mexico were lifted, improving the outlook for the USMCA Agreement, and a decision to apply U.S. tariffs on cars from the EU and Japan was postponed.  Also last week, Secretary of Agriculture Sonny Perdue announced a breakthrough agreement opening additional U.S. beef exports to Japan.  Nonetheless, recent news reports document that trade issues, particularly with China, continue to suppress the outlook for U.S. farmers.

Federal Reserve Ag Credit Surveys- 2019 First Quarter Farm Economy Conditions

Last week, the Federal Reserve Banks of Chicago, St. Louis and Kansas City released updates regarding farm income, farmland values and agricultural credit conditions from the first quarter of 2019.  And earlier this year, the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas released its Agricultural Survey for the first quarter of 2019.  Today’s update highlights core findings from the Fed reports.

Kansas City Fed: Ag Banks Make Adjustments

An update last month from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (“Ag Banks Make Adjustments as Lending Remains Elevated,” by Cortney Cowley and Ty Kreitman) stated that, “According to the National Survey of Terms of Lending to Farmers, non-real estate lending continued to increase at a moderate pace in the first quarter. The volume of non-real estate loans increased 9 percent from a year ago. Although the volume of loans to finance operating expenses remained relatively steady, volumes for livestock loans and loans to finance machinery and equipment increased.”

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