Bloomberg writers Michael Hirtzer and Elizabeth Elkin reported yesterday that, “Steaks and hamburgers will likely be more expensive in the next few years with US cattle shrinking to its lowest herd since 2014.”
Agricultural Economy
FT: “World’s Food Supplies Still Under Threat,” “Multiple Risks Remain,” Notes Bloomberg News
Emiko Terazono reported on Saturday at The Financial Times Online that, “Fertiliser and crop prices have fallen sharply since their peaks after last year’s Russian attack on Ukraine.”
DTN: Retail Fertilizer Price Trends, “Considerably Lower,” While Mexico Hopes to Reduce Corn Imports
DTN writer Russ Quinn reported yesterday that, “Most average retail fertilizer prices were lower the third week of January 2023, according to sellers surveyed by DTN.”
Kansas City Fed: Gradual Increase in Farm Lending Persists
In an update last week from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, “Rebound in Farm Lending Continues,” Cortney Cowley and Ty Kreitman indicated that, “Farm lending activity continued to increase gradually alongside further growth in loan sizes.”
WSJ: “Worst U.S. Avian Flu Outbreak” Persists, “There is No Historical Context for This”
Dan Frosch reported in today’s Wall Street Journal that, “Nearly a year after it began, the worst avian-influenza outbreak in U.S. history is continuing to decimate poultry flocks across the Midwest and Colorado, frustrating efforts to keep the virus from affecting the nation’s egg prices and supply.”
ERS: “Wholesale Table-Egg Prices Peaked in December”
In its monthly Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook report yesterday, the USDA’s Economic Research Service indicated that, “Table-egg production was estimated at 635.0 million dozen in November.”
Federal Reserve: Observations on the Ag Economy- January 2023
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve Board released its January 2023 Beige Book update, a summary of commentary on current economic conditions by Federal Reserve District. The report included several observations pertaining to the U.S. agricultural economy.
Food Prices Increased 0.3% in December, Up 10% From a Year Ago- Eggs Climb 59.9% Annually
Financial Times writers Colby Smith and Kate Duguid reported yesterday that, “Annual US inflation fell in December to its lowest level in more than a year, in a further sign that price pressures have peaked amid the Federal Reserve’s historic campaign to tighten monetary policy.”
Deere Reaches Deal to Allow Farmers to Repair Own Equipment
Patience Haggin reported in today’s Wall Street Journal that, “Machinery manufacturer Deere & Co. signed a memorandum of understanding with the American Farm Bureau Federation on Sunday that the group said ensures farmers can repair their own farm equipment or take it to independent repair shops.”
World Food Prices Dropped in December; China Demand in Focus; and Mississippi Barge Rates Normalize
Bloomberg writer Megan Durisin reported today that, “After a year marred by disruptions from the war in Ukraine and extreme weather, global food prices ended 2022 roughly where they started.”
Small Towns and Wind Farms, Energy Policy in Focus; While Cover Crops Garner Attention
David Gelles reported on the front page of today’s New York Times that, “Depressed property values. Flickering shadows. Falling ice. One by one, a real estate appraiser rattled off what he said were the deleterious effects of wind farms as a crowd in an agricultural community in central Illinois hung on his every word.”
China Demand, Argentina Weather Impacting Soybean Prices, Recent Cold Spell Causes Winter-Kill Worries in Wheat
Bloomberg writers Tatiana Freitas and Megan Durisin reported yesterday that, “Soybean futures jumped to the highest in six months on expectations for greater demand from China and as dry conditions in parts of South America threaten supply.”
Production Costs in Focus
DTN writer Russ Quinn reported on Wednesday that, “Average retail fertilizer prices have begun to move noticeably lower for the fourth week of December 2022, according to sellers surveyed by DTN.”
Senate Passes Budget, Ag Provisions Included, as Winter Storm Creates Challenges; Senate Approves Key Ag Trade Positions
Tony Romm reported on the front page of today’s Washington Post that, “The Senate on Thursday adopted a sprawling, roughly $1.7 trillion bill that would fund the government through most of 2023, as Democrats and Republicans resolved a last-minute standoff over immigration and voted to avert a shutdown in the final days of the year.”
WSJ: U.S. Farm Belt Booming; Farmland Values Climb
Jesse Newman and Jacob Bunge reported in today’s Wall Street Journal that, “High prices for crops and livestock are fueling a boom in the U.S. Farm Belt, making farmers, ranchers and agricultural companies rare winners as the broader American economy softens.”
Bird Flu Impacts, and A Glance at Production Cost Variables
Bloomberg writers Megan Durisin and Elizabeth Elkin reported earlier this week that, “The bird flu outbreak ravaging global poultry flocks is now the worst since records began, driving a spike in the price of eggs, threatening free-range chicken and risking long-term impacts to animal health.”
An Overview of U.S. Farms From USDA’s Economic Research Service- 2022 Edition
The USDA’s Economic Research Service (ERS) recently released its annual report exploring characteristics of U.S. farms: “America’s Farms and Ranches at a Glance, 2022 Edition.” Today’s update includes highlights from the report, which was written by Christine Whitt, Noah Miller, and Ryan Olver.
Iowa Farmland Values Up Another 17%
A news release Tuesday from the Center for Agricultural and Rural Development at Iowa State University and Iowa State University Extension and Outreach indicated that, “One year after skyrocketing 29%, the average value of an acre of Iowa farmland jumped another 17%, or $1,660, to $11,411 per acre.”
Grocery Prices Increased 0.5% in November, Up 12% So Far This Year
Jeanna Smialek reported on the front page of today’s New York Times that, “Inflation slowed more sharply than expected in November, an encouraging sign for both Federal Reserve officials and consumers that 18 months of rapid and unrelenting price increases are beginning to meaningfully abate.”
Kansas City Fed: Farm Real Estate Debt Climbs, But Farm Finances Strong
In a recent update from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, “Farm Debt Climbs but Financial Stress Remains Limited,” Nate Kauffman and Ty Kreitman indicated that, “Farm real estate debt continued to climb and led to a notable increase in agricultural loan balances at commercial banks.”